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RSM Canada (“RSM”), a leading global provider of audit, tax and advisory services focused on mid-market companies, today launched the April 2021 edition of The Real Economy: Canada, a quarterly report providing economic analysis for Canadian companies. and insight into factors driving growth or economic headwinds in the Canadian middle market.
Ahead of Monday’s federal budget announcement, the second edition of this year’s “Real Economy: Canada” report examines how the economy has responded to aggressive federal spending and monetary policy, as well as indirect measures such as the Biden administration’s American bailout plan, proving to be a spark for growth on north of the border. The report also highlights the harmonizing impact of the recent $25 billion acquisition of Canadian Pacific Railway, the technological advancements of Canadian industries over the past year, and the advancement of Canada’s workforce.
The Canadian Pacific Railway deal is a thaw in North American trade tensions and a major step towards an integrated continental economy
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“Canada Pacific’s $25 billion deal to acquire Kansas City South marks an important step this year in easing tensions between North American trading partners and realizing the vision of an integrated North American economy,” said Alex Kotsopoulos, Partner, Projects and Economics, RSM Canada. “In the near term, however, Canada’s current unemployment rate points to a labor market struggling to regain its full potential, while the current shortfall in local government revenue and Canada’s output gap, defined as the difference between actual GDP and the economy’s pre-pandemic projected GDP, suggest that the government needs to do more.
Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist at RSM US LLP, added: “Boosted by government spending and aggressive monetary policy, the Canadian economy has recovered nearly 90 percent of economic output lost as a result of the pandemic, setting the stage for what is to come. is Canada’s fastest growth rate in a generation. While the federal government’s upcoming budget will try to speed up the recovery, it is America’s bailout plan that, combined with Canada’s aid measures, will wake the economy from its slumber. Payments sent directly to Americans will free up consumer spending, which in turn will fuel strong growth this year and next. As a result, the Canadian economy will benefit.
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FCR is a proud member of the RSM Canada Alliance, the leading affiliate of independent accounting and consulting firms across North America. The RSM Canada Alliance provides our company with access to the resources of RSM, a leading provider of audit, tax and advisory services focused on the middle market. RSM Canada LLP is a licensed CPA firm and the Canadian member of RSM International, a global network of independent audit, tax and advisory firms employing more than 43,000 people in more than 120 countries.
Our membership in the RSM Canada Alliance has increased our opportunities in the marketplace, helping to differentiate our company from our competitors while allowing us to maintain our independence and entrepreneurial culture. We have access to a valuable network of companies of similar size, as well as a wide range of tools, knowledge and technical resources. Inform your business decisions. Read and view risk intelligence and analysis information. Discover the best and worst of the global economy. Get opinions and reviews on the latest global economic news headlines. Save money and time with.
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The IMF is now predicting a deeper global recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Even if the virus spreads, consumers will be too scared to spend at pre-pandemic levels. This will have a severe impact on the world economy.
The forecast, if correct, will be the worst global economic recession since World War II. The World Bank predicts global economic growth of 4.2% in 2021.
Going back centuries, we can see that often the second wave of infections kills more people than the first hit of the pandemic. While some countries are beginning to cope with the Covid-19 pandemic, others have yet to feel the full force of the deadly new virus.
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A vaccine will be a game changer, but without it, most countries will experience a second or more wave of Covid-19. The extent of the impact of these waves will depend on whether we learn from the first wave and do not repeat the same or similar mistakes.
A large second wave of the virus, with exponential spread, leading to increased social and economic lockdowns, would be catastrophic. In countries where the virus is under control, the reproduction rate should be kept below 1. In countries where the virus is not under control, quarantine should be included to prevent the virus from spreading back into controlled country environments.
Even without a second wave of death, the economic tsunami of the first wave can damage localized areas, entire continents, and the world:
Most debt was a problem for many countries before the pandemic. With the pandemic, debt has been posited as a savior. It could become a bigger killer than a virus.
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April 14, 2020 International Monetary Fund IMF reports global economy shrinks 3 percent due to coronavirus pandemic
The IMF had forecast global economic growth of 3.5 percent before the pandemic. That means the IMF is predicting a 6.5 percent shift from growth to global recession.
The financial crisis in 2009 saw a global recession of only 0.1 percent. This economic and financial crisis is 30 times worse than the 2009 financial crisis. The IMF expects a massive return to global economic growth next year. Not all companies will survive to see it.
The only uncertainty is whether the world economy will deteriorate to the point of a prolonged global economic depression.
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The IMF currently forecasts global growth of 3.3 percent in 2020 and 3.4 percent in 2021. Risks to the global economy include:
January 9, 2020 Now Iran’s U.S.-imminent threat of war is fracturing the global economy
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